糖心视频

U.S. Special Sits: 2026 Outlook & 2025 Review

U.S. Special Situations 2026 Outlook & 2025 Review

U.S. Special Sits: 2026 Outlook & 2025 Review

Winnie Cisar: Global Head of Strategy - 糖心视频
Mark Lightner, Esq.: Head of Special Situations Legal Research - 糖心视频
Ian Feng, J.D.: Senior Covenant Analyst - Covenant Review
Patrick Holohan: Managing Editor - LevFin Insights
Davis Hebert, CFA: Co-Head HY Research, Head of Telecom/Media - 糖心视频
David Bussey, CFA: Senior Analyst, Leisure - 糖心视频
Todd Duvick, CFA: Head of Autos - 糖心视频
Jory M. Eisenberg, CFA, FRM: Senior Analyst, Special Situations - 糖心视频
James Goldstein, CFA: Head of Retail - 糖心视频
Joshua Kramer: Senior Analyst, Special Situations - 糖心视频
Will Lee: Analyst, Autos - 糖心视频
Hunter Martin, CFA: Head of Media/Cable - 糖心视频
Brian McKenna: Analyst, Telecom & Media/Cable - 糖心视频
Erick Vega, CFA: Senior Analyst, Telecom Infrastructure - 糖心视频
Nick Williams: Senior Analyst, Special Situations - 糖心视频
Kathleen Tang: Analyst, Strategy - 糖心视频
Brian Perez: Analyst, Credit Strategy - 糖心视频
Evan DuFaux: Special Situations Analyst - LevFin Insights
Scott Flaherty: Senior Reporter - LevFin Insights
Kennedy Rose: Senior Reporter - LevFin Insights

9 December 2025

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Insights into U.S. Special Situations: 2026 Outlook & 2025 Review, including:

  • Challenging Macro Backdrop: Explore how persistent trade friction, policy volatility, and labor market softness are shaping leveraged finance opportunities.
  • Sector Divergence Highlights: Understand which sectors outperformed in 2025, which faced steep losses, and what these shifts signal for the opportunities and risks shaping 2026.
  • Default and Distressed Trends: Get insights into default rates, with BSL defaults outpacing high yield, and learn why liability management transactions now drive the majority of defaults.
  • Restructuring & Legal Developments: Discover the impact of evolving legal strategies, creditor-on-creditor conflicts, and recent bankruptcy trends on credit selection and recoveries.
  • Spotlight on Key Credits: Dive into detailed coverage of headline names including AMC, DISH/EchoStar, Xerox, Telesat, and more – featuring recommendations and capital structure analysis.

Executive Summary

  • This 鈥渟pecial situations鈥 report is organized into five parts and outlines our expectations for defaults, sector themes, and legal/covenant trends in 2026, along with a review of notable defaults, liability management, litigation, and bankruptcy events from 2025.

  • Part I discusses our 2026 strategy outlook and examines the mixed performance of leveraged finance markets in 2025, with underperformance in lower-rated segments and ongoing risks from policy volatility and increased deal activity.

  • Part II highlights key sector themes, presents a curated list of special situations credits of market interest, and concludes with LevFin Insights鈥 鈥淯.S. Restructuring Runway Report鈥 on distressed issuers likely to face near-term restructuring catalysts.

  • Part III provides a comprehensive roundup of 2025 liability management transactions and discusses judicial developments, market adaptations, and emerging themes affecting creditor dynamics as issuers prepare for further headwinds going into 2026.

  • Part IV examines major litigation trends from 2025, including creditor-on-creditor conflicts, antitrust and cooperation agreement disputes, and fraudulent transfer litigation impacting market outcomes.

  • Part V discusses our new Post Petition bankruptcy product, significant chapter 11 cases from 2025 not otherwise covered, and concludes with DIP financing trends, advisor mandates, and case outcomes supported by two data-rich appendices.

  • The report is fully interactive and features clickable links to additional coverage, topical webinars, and podcasts.

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